The stock-to-flow (S2F) model for the leading cryptocurrency has become a widely used tool for forecasting future prices. This article examines how the model operates, its key advantages, major criticisms, and how traders incorporate it into their investment strategies.
The S2F model is a price prediction framework that focuses on the supply dynamics of the digital asset. Originally introduced by the pseudonymous analyst PlanB in 2019, the model is founded on the principle of scarcity, similar to how precious metals are valued.
The S2F ratio is determined by dividing the current stock (total circulating supply) by the flow (estimated production rate over a specific period). A higher S2F ratio signals greater scarcity and, in theory, a higher market price.
The S2F chart displays the asset’s market price as a color-coded line layered over price projections derived from the S2F ratio. Colors represent proximity to the next halving event, with darker shades near halving and warmer hues farther away.
Traders assess discrepancies between the S2F-projected price and the actual market price, identifying historical patterns to anticipate future price movements.
Traders leverage the S2F model to study historical price trends and project long-term asset performance, particularly in relation to halving events. Its effectiveness increases when paired with other technical and fundamental indicators, including chart patterns, macroeconomic news, and on-chain analytics.
The stock-to-flow model for the leading cryptocurrency is a robust tool for analyzing long-term price dynamics, though it has its limitations. Traders should integrate it into a broader analytic framework, combining it with other indicators and metrics for a holistic market perspective. While not a definitive predictor, the S2F model offers meaningful insight into scarcity and the asset’s potential value over time.
Plan B Bitcoin is a valuation model for Bitcoin that forecasts substantial price growth based on scarcity and limited supply. Developed by the anonymous analyst “PlanB,” it has become prominent in the crypto community.
No, PlanB has not sold his Bitcoin holdings. He remains committed to a long-term position and continues to trust his Stock-to-Flow model for Bitcoin.
Yes, based on his Stock-to-Flow model, PlanB predicts Bitcoin could hit $300,000 by 2026.
The Stock-to-Flow model anticipates Plan B Bitcoin will reach $100,000 per BTC by the end of 2025. This bullish outlook is driven by increasing scarcity and adoption.
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